Health

The number of cases of corona virus is expected to increase in winter, the research said

At the onset of the Corona virus epidemic, scientists predicted that the spread of the disease would slow down as the weather warmed.

But during the spring and summer, there was no significant reduction in the rate of cases around the world, and this theory was rejected.

But now a study from Johns Hopkins University in the United States suggests that rising temperatures have moderated the spread of the virus, but that in the coming months, when the winds are colder, a major wave of the epidemic could emerge.

“Warm weather triggered the effects of the epidemic, but during the fall and winter we may experience a hurricane and it will be more difficult to control,” said Dr. Adam Kaplan, head of the research team.

The results of the study were so shocking that Dr. Adam Kaplan revealed the results in an unusual way, while the research is still under review for publication in a medical journal.

Restrictions have been eased as coronavirus cases have dropped worldwide, but researchers say cases could go up in the winter, even if some restrictions are in place at the moment.

The idea of ​​becoming a seasonal disease is not new, with flu, the common cold and other coronavirus-related illnesses declining in the warmer months but increasing in the winter.

Other research reports or models have worked on this idea.

Separate research by the University of Maryland, Harvard University and Princeton University has found that changes in temperature can cause some changes in the effects of the virus.

In a study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, University of Maryland researchers discovered that the new corona virus behaves like a seasonal respiratory virus, and spreads with temperature and humidity levels.

The researchers said that it was possible to develop a meteorological model to predict a higher risk of the virus spreading.

Research from the Princeton Environmental Institute has rejected the notion that the weather is a factor in the spread of the virus, and should focus on measures such as the use of face masks and social distance.

Dr. Michael Ryan, executive director of the World Health Organization’s Health Emergencies Program, is also skeptical about the effects of temperature changes on the virus.

He told a news conference last month that no seasonal trend had been seen in the virus.

But other research reports have raised concerns about the cold weather, saying the number of cases could rise if precautions are not taken.

One of them is research at the Children’s Hospital Philadelphia Policy Lab, which included a climate impact model.

Research has shown that a drop in temperature can lead to the spread of the virus, while in hot weather people are more likely to spread the virus.

The results of the study, published in the journal JAMA Network Open in July, also found that social distance measures are the most effective way to control the virus, regardless of temperature.

Research from Johns Hopkins University agrees that social distance measures are now more important.

For the study, researchers used meteorological data from different countries, as well as details of the spread of the epidemic and precautionary measures in 50 countries.

He found that from January to April, temperatures in various countries, such as Singapore, ranged from 26 to 32 degrees Celsius, so the rate of cases there was much lower than in other countries, such as Turkey, where temperatures were much lower.

He said that institutions around the world should take precautionary measures in view of the cold weather to minimize the spread of the virus.

“We can’t say for sure that the number of cases will increase in the winter, we’ll have to wait, but we do have enough information to show that a drop in temperature could increase the rate of cases,” the researchers said.

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